Ethical Issues of
Chemoprevention Clinical Trials
Victor G. Vogel, MD, MHS, and Lisa S. Parker, PhD
Ethical issues associated with clinical research in cancer chemoprevention trials are
multiple and varied.
Background: Chemoprevention of malignancy is a new concept in clinical medicine,
and little is written about the ethics of identifying and enrolling eligible subjects in
chemoprevention clinical trials.
Methods: The authors identify the ethical issues raised in the conduct of clinical
chemoprevention trials and review the ethical considerations that should guide clinical
researchers in the design and conduct of this new type of clinical trial.
Results: The ethics of chemoprevention clinical trials are complicated because (1)
chemoprevention lies at the intersection of disease management and health promotion, (2)
there are conflicting interests competing in these trials, and (3) multiple values play a
role in determining the nature and magnitude of the risks and benefits of chemoprevention
of cancer. Ethical questions related to these trials concern the enrollment of healthy
individuals rather than cancer patients, confidentiality in recruitment, the enrollment of
"high-risk" subjects, randomization, informed consent, trial monitoring, and
competing outcomes and toxicities.
Conclusions: These issues will be resolved with the accumulating clinical
experience and ethical deliberations that accompany ongoing clinical chemoprevention
research studies.
Introduction
Chemoprevention can be defined as the use of specific natural or synthetic chemical
agents to reverse, suppress, or prevent carcinogenic progression to invasive cancer.1-3
Epithelial carcinogenesis proceeds through multiple discernible stages of molecular and
cellular alterations and provides the scientific rationale for cancer chemoprevention.
Before an agent identified in the laboratory as having potential efficacy as a
chemopreventive drug can be tested in human beings, a suitable "target
population" must be identified along with an obtainable endpoint for a clinical
trial. This endpoint could be the emergence of incident cancer cases or an intermediate
(ie, "surrogate") endpoint.4,5
A number of chemoprevention trials in various stages are currently being conducted in
the United States and Europe.2 Chemoprevention of malignancy is a new concept
in clinical medicine, and little is written about the ethics of identifying and enrolling
eligible subjects in chemoprevention clinical trials. In the sections below, we identify
the ethical issues raised in the conduct of clinical chemoprevention trials and review the
ethical considerations that should guide clinical researchers in the design and conduct of
this new type of clinical trial.
Ethical Background and Issues in Chemoprevention
Bioethics was born in the late 1960s at a time of general concern for individual
rights, including patients' rights,6 and as a result of the frustration and
confusion that medical professionals experienced as they faced new but often scarce
technologies (eg, dialysis). Bioethics, therefore, also emerged as a professional ethic
for health care providers and continued implicitly to give more weight to the values and
goals of medicine and science than to the cultural norms, and sometimes idiosyncratic
values, of patients.
Recently, the Food and Drug Administration displayed favoritism toward medical values
when it determined that silicone implants should remain available for reconstructive
purposes following mastectomy but should be severely restricted for use in breast
augmentation. The connection between cosmetic reconstruction and life-saving, curative
treatment, a quintessential medical value, was cited as the relevant difference between
the two uses.7,8
In resolving questions of justice and the equitable allocation of potentially
beneficial interventions, bioethics asserted that the medical establishment could not
engage in God-like reasoning and make value judgments about the relative worth of
different ways of living. However, in selecting candidates for organ transplantation,
values, qualities, or lifestyles that fall outside accepted norms are deemed
contraindications for transplantation.9 Because some ethical problems and
conflicts have been identified as arising rather predictably in various medical contexts,
bioethics now advocates taking a "preventive ethics stance" toward them.10
Anticipating and implementing structural solutions to (or ways of resolving) ethical
problems may provide the best hope of promoting patient autonomy, protecting and promoting
patient welfare, and allocating scarce resources equitably. The design of chemoprevention
trials and the eventual delivery of chemopreventive agents as standard care constitute an
especially rich arena in which to identify and attempt to resolve ethical conflicts and to
examine the normative assumptions of experimental preventive medicine and their
interaction with patients' values. As a preventive medical intervention, chemoprevention
reflects an anticipatory stance, anticipating and preventing disease development based on
state-of-the-art knowledge about disease etiology and course as well as therapeutic
agents. Similarly, based on current understanding of ethical concerns in clinical trial
design, health belief models, and psychologic and social risks attending preventive
interventions, it is possible to pursue a preventive ethics approach in designing
chemoprevention trials and to anticipate the particular complicating factors in
chemoprevention that raise ethical concern.
Chemoprevention Clinical Trials
The ethics of chemoprevention are complicated for three fundamental reasons. First,
chemoprevention lies at the intersection of different approaches to the management of
disease and health promotion. Second, and relatedly, several conflicting perspectives or
interests are at play in chemoprevention trials, as in all clinical research. Third, as in
all areas of medicine but especially in this context, values play an important role in
determining the nature and magnitude of the risks and benefits of chemoprevention. We
review these sources of ethical concern and propose suggestions to sort out conflicting
interests and to assure that appropriate normative goals are pursued.
First, the ethics of chemoprevention clinical trials reflect ethical considerations of
experimental interventions (as opposed to standard care), of prevention (as opposed to
cure or treatment), and of public health strategies as well as individualized approaches
to disease management. Thus, those participating in chemoprevention trials are not typical
patients in two senses -- they are research subjects and they are likely to be healthy.
Second, although cancer patients might be assumed to have the treatment or cure of
their disease as a primary interest, those seeking to prevent disease generally view this
as one goal among many. If the risks or burdens are too high or if other conflicting
pursuits are valued more highly, potential trial participants may prefer to forgo
chemoprevention entirely. (This is, of course, equally true of ill patients, but the
seriousness of their condition may make treatment a prerequisite for pursuit of other
goals.) In addition, physician-researchers who want to accrue patients to their randomized
trials have professional interests that may conflict with the interests of both their
eligible and enrolled subjects. Thus, the experimental and preventive nature of
chemoprevention introduces a variety of interests on the part of those offering it, which
can also conflict with the multitude of possibly conflicting interests that subjects have
with respect to the intervention.
Because the benefits of chemoprevention are demonstrated in the aggregate but are
unlikely to be evidenced in every subject, it is difficult (and currently impossible) for
individuals to predict how the potential benefits of chemoprevention affect one's own
interests and interact with one's personal priorities. In this regard, chemoprevention
resembles a classic public health intervention rather than individualized therapy. A
potential subject might highly value avoiding cancer, which argues in favor of choosing
chemoprevention at least once its benefit is demonstrated, and yet the individual may
develop cancer anyway or might have avoided cancer without the chemopreventive
intervention. From the individual perspective, the risks and burdens associated with
chemoprevention will be incurred, but the benefits may accrue to others. However, from the
perspective of an entire population at risk, chemoprevention would be a valuable means of
disease reduction. (Moreover, our highly cancer-averse subject may be randomized to a
nonchemopreventive control arm. Also, all research subjects may be said to incur risks and
burdens for the primary benefit of future generations.)
Finally, it is tempting to assess the risks and potential benefits of chemoprevention
trials through the lens of medical science. Such examination would tend to emphasize
eventual aggregated outcomes as well as risks, side effects, and benefits that fit medical
models of deleterious or beneficial consequences. Nevertheless, it is crucial to give
adequate weight to nonmedical values, to be cognizant of extra-scientific factors that
affect subject accrual and interpretation of risks, and to take seriously the values and
concerns of patients when balancing conflicting interests, assessing the appropriateness
of a proposed clinical trial, determining what information must be disclosed to subjects
during informed consent, or identifying proper stopping points. It is important to ensure
that stopping rules, for example, are not only pertinent to medico-scientific values (eg,
statistical significance) but also relevant to the actual concerns of subjects. Moreover,
although medico-scientific and patient perspectives may often differ, these differences
may be more dramatic when no disease condition exists than when patient and professional
unite their interests and efforts. In preventive interventions, medical professionals are
more likely than members of the public to give overriding weight to concern about the
disease under study.
Healthy Individuals vs Cancer Patients
Individuals who are ill typically enter the health care system willingly and request
diagnosis and treatment. In contrast, those who are at risk of developing a disease seldom
present to the system requesting initiation of primary preventive interventions. However,
healthy individuals may seek screening and early detection of cancer. Clinical trials
extract a price from those who participate, even healthy individuals. The costs of
participation involve lost time, the expenses of clinic visits and laboratory testing not
provided by the trial, the costs of additional tests and procedures resulting from close
observation, the administration of daily medications, and the possibility of toxicity due
to the agent under investigation. In addition, the social and economic risks of stigma and
discrimination in employment or health and life insurance may accompany participation in
clinical trials of screening and prevention strategies, because participation in them
implies that subjects may be at increased risk for expensive or stigmatizing diseases.11-13
Patients with cancer or other severe, life-threatening illnesses are likely to endure
significant hardship and treatment-related toxicity in the hope of receiving curative
therapy. Indeed, many will enroll in trials of experimental therapies in this sometimes
mistaken hope.
Despite its severity, however, cancer is a rare disease even among individuals who are
at increased risk. Identification of conditions that increase the risk of developing
malignancy is not difficult. These include a family history of the disease, the presence
of epidemiologic risk factors (eg, age at first live birth), or biopsy-proven premalignant
histologic change (eg, proliferative benign breast disease with or without atypia, oral
leukoplakia, colon polyps). Relative risks associated with these conditions range from
modest levels of 2 to 4 to very high levels of 10 or greater. Nevertheless, most
individuals with these conditions will not develop malignancy. We have not yet defined the
lifetime probability of developing disease that justifies enrollment of such individuals
in a clinical trial, and it is not apparent how the chance of developing malignancy should
be compared to the risk of toxicity related to the agent under study or resulting from the
monitoring procedures to be used during the trial.
Individuals frequently differ in the priority they give to avoiding particular disease
conditions or the disutility they attribute to being ill; the personal nature of this
normative assessment complicates the establishment of a standard of care or a standardized
protocol for trial enrollment. In situations where the likelihood of disease development
is uncertain, standardization is even more complicated, because individuals differ in
their degree of risk aversion and have difficulty appreciating probabilistic information.
Generally, where there is lack of consensus about how individuals will value health
intervention opportunities, it is best to inform them of the intervention and allow them
to decide. This rule of thumb, however, is tempered by concern about protecting them from
psychosocial and economic risks, such as insurance discrimination. Appropriate preventive
ethics strategies include informing prospective subjects in stages of increasingly
detailed information, not recording initial offers of participation in medical records (to
avoid insurance discrimination), and early "mirandizing" prospective
participants about psychosocial and economic risks as well as health-related risks of
participation.
Moreover, it is unclear whether the individuals enrolled in a clinical chemoprevention
trial should be considered "patients," "subjects," or
"participants." Labeling healthy individuals as patients carries the potentially
negative connotations of illness and all of the behavioral metaphors associated with
illness. The creation of new classes of the asymptomatic sick (eg, considering gene
carriers as ill), which attends various screening strategies, and the medicalization of
conditions for which there may be a medical solution (eg, obesity, hypertension, or
genetically increased risk)14 have important implications for our senses of
self- identity, our health beliefs and behaviors, and various social institutions (eg,
insurance).
While designating those enrolled in chemoprevention trials as "subjects" is
important to reflect the experimental nature of the enterprise and the dual roles of their
physician-researchers, this designation may make some individuals feel more vulnerable, as
though they are human guinea pigs. Steps must be taken to inform them honestly of the
conflicting obligations that physician-researchers face and to ensure that such conflicts
are resolved in favor of protecting each of them. A subject must realize the
physician-researcher relationship differs from the personal physician relationship due to
its role in more global goals, but steps must be taken to ensure that it is still a
well-justified, trusting relationship.15 Candor about the existence of possible
conflicts empowers patients; itis often not the existence of conflicting professional
interests and obligations that concerns patients, but their initial unawareness of them.
When such conflicts are discovered -- often following a negative outcome -- a sense of
betrayal and mistrust ensues. Preventively disclosing potential and uneliminable conflicts
allows patients to consent explicitly to these background risks of participation.
Confidentiality in Recruitment
Among patients who have established relationships with a particular physician, it is
common for the physician to offer participation in various treatment clinical trials to
those patients with medical conditions lacking defined treatment or for whom the trial
would offer therapy not otherwise available because of issues such as access or cost.
Where the researcher is also the patient's personal physician, special care must be taken
to ensure that neither appearance nor reality of conflict affects the interests of the
patient. Access to potential subjects for a cancer chemoprevention clinical trial is
problematic, however, because the subjects of interest often have no established
therapeutic relationship with the responsible clinical investigator. They may be relatives
of cancer patients under treatment, or they may be individuals listed in a pathology
database because of a prior biopsy showing the presence of a premalignant histologic
condition. Some ongoing chemoprevention clinical trials have used tumor registry data to
identify relatives of cancer patients who may be acceptable and willing candidates for
trial participation.16 Pathology databases have been similarly employed, but
uniform mechanisms or guidelines for using these resources have not been established.
Issues of privacy and confidentiality and concerns about introducing psychosocial and
economic risks arise with respect to recruiting subjects from populations. These must be
balanced with both the potential desire of subjects who are at increased risk for
malignancy to know about potentially beneficial interventions and the potential benefit to
larger populations of completing chemoprevention trials. Recruitment strategies that seek
to enroll the relatives of cancer patients in chemoprevention clinical research risk
violating principles of confidentiality designed to protect patients. Moreover, unless
such relatives already know that they are at increased risk of cancer, their introduction
to this information may create anxiety and disrupt their life plans, self-concepts, or
familial relationships (eg, if they blame their relatives for not informing them). Those
found not to be at increased risk may experience a sense of "survivor guilt" and
disrupted family relationships. Most importantly, although we live in an era of increasing
medicalization and rapid increases in medical knowledge, the exercise of autonomy entails
that people still have a right not to know about their health status.
In some studies of genetically determined disease, use of a proband to identify and
make the initial contact with other family members has proved to be a useful recruitment
strategy that might be employed in this context.13 A conversation with a family
member (eg, a cancer patient) does not introduce the same degree of risk to employment and
insurability as might contact by a researcher. Even becoming aware of a family history of
disease may, however, introduce such risks because of requirements by insurance companies
of honest self-reporting. Nevertheless, a family member may make an initial, suitably
general contact of relatives, who in turn may be asked to contact researchers if they are
interested in further information about trial participation.
Recruitment by family members also raises concern about the degree to which
participation is voluntary. Would pressure by family members be likely, and would this
pressure be impossible for researchers to monitor and prevent? Generally, the degree of
familial pressure that accompanies positive ties of affection, respect, and
interdependency is deemed acceptable. However, researchers should inquire whether
prospective enrollees felt pressured to participate, and they should take steps to
minimize this pressure, regardless of its source.17
Because enrollment in a clinical prevention trial also may jeopardize either employment
or insurance, especially if a criterion for entry in the trial is being a member of a
"high-risk group," special care must be taken to warn prospective enrollees of
this risk and to protect their confidentiality.18,19 These measures might
include applying for a federal certificate of confidentiality whenever possible and
maintaining records concerning research participation separate from personal medical
records. Maintaining separate records will be difficult, if not impossible, in the case of
chemoprevention, however, because of the nature of side effects and the importance of
receiving informed and comprehensive medical care while participating in the trial. If
subjects are healthy and have not yet experienced the outcome event(s) in a prevention
trial, it is not clear whether the records of their participation in the trial should or
must be considered a part of their medical record.
It is ironic that undertaking steps to prevent disease jeopardizes insurability.
However, given the severity of some of the risks of chemoprevention and the current
uncertainty of benefit, the perspective of some insurers is comprehensible, if not
admirable.20,21 Developments in genetics and preventive medicine are likely to
prompt health care and health insurance reform measures, but these measures are likely to
lag behind more widespread problems of discrimination. Researchers would be advised to
advocate such reform as they are well equipped to describe the medico-scientific benefits
of such social reform.
"High-Risk" Subjects
Individuals who are at increased risk of malignancy do a poor job at accurately
estimating
their risk,22 and this is true even among individuals who are identified as
"numerate." Also, such subjects may overestimate the personal benefit they will
experience if they participate in a clinical trial. Because all clinical trials involve
some risk, even if the adverse events are not causally related to either the interventions
or the observations associated with the trial, clinical investigators are obligated to
present both the risks and benefits of a clinical trial to potential subjects. We have
very little data, however, regarding the ability of potentially anxious, high-risk
subjects to understand accurately either the risks or the benefits of trial participation
in quantitative terms. It is important to collect data concerning the abilities of
subjects to appreciate risks and benefits of trial participation and the effect of this
information on their health beliefs and behaviors. These data may improve the process of
informed consent.
Randomization
Randomization is one method of enhancing the scientific merit of a study by reducing
bias and increasing the ability to generalize study results. However, randomization also
complicates the processes of enrolling subjects and obtaining informed consent, and it
introduces some specific psychologic and social risks to trial participation. Can we
randomize high-risk subjects to a placebo? Placebos are selected because of their presumed
lack of effect on the outcome of interest, but their use denies individuals assigned to
them the potential benefit of effective prevention. Subjects considering participation in
a prevention clinical trial cite the possibility of being assigned to placebo therapy as a
reason for nonparticipation.23 Their reluctance often can be balanced by the
promise of close surveillance for the development of early malignancy. Nevertheless,
individuals who are newly identified as being at increased risk for developing cancer and
who are subsequently randomized to a placebo arm of a trial incur the psychologic distress
of knowing of their risk without the possibility of the hoped-for benefit.
In addition, anyone participating in such a trial, particularly those at increased risk
of disease, incurs the risks of discrimination. Those randomized to a placebo group incur
such risks without concomitant potential benefit. It must be remembered, however, that the
benefits of chemoprevention are not established. Those in the control group do not incur
the side effects and possible risks of the chemopreventive agent itself.
Clinical experimentation is surrounded by emotionally and normatively charged rhetoric.
Experimental interventions are of unproven benefit, yet they hold promise of benefit. The
conflicting discourses of caution and promise must be clarified for potential trial
subjects in order to assure that they are not inordinately swayed by either perspective.
An additional issue concerns prophylactic surgery. For example, some women who are at
increased risk of breast cancer elect prophylactic mastectomy. Can we ask subjects to
forgo prophylactic surgery to enroll in a chemoprevention trial? If we do, can we
randomize subjects to prophylactic surgery vs a chemoprevention agent? What about placebo
assignments? If a woman would choose prophylactic mastectomy to prevent breast cancer, can
we assign her to placebo treatment as part of a prospective intervention trial? According
to a preventive ethics approach, it is important that researchers anticipate these
questions and outline solutions that do not undermine the scientific integrity of the
study while preserving the rights of subjects to seek other treatment or to withdraw from
a trial. These proposed means of handling both potential subjects who desire alternative
treatment and study subjects whose desires change in light of new developments should form
an integral part of research protocols submitted to Institutional Review Boards and
discussed with prospective subjects.
Informed Consent Process
Informed consent is required of subjects and patients in all research and therapeutic
contexts to promote their autonomy and protect their welfare. Medically unsophisticated
individuals are not, however, the sole monitors of their own welfare; Institutional Review
Boards must assure that a proposed clinical trial is of sufficient merit and presents an
appropriate risk-benefit ratio before prospective subjects may be asked to give informed
consent to participate. (Standard of care serves a similar role in therapeutic contexts.)
The doctrine of informed consent requires that patients or research subjects be competent,
that the risks and benefits of the proposed intervention be disclosed to them, that they
appreciate the risks and benefits and weigh them in accordance with their own value
systems in order to reach a decision to consent or refuse the proposed intervention, and
that their decisions be voluntary.24
The disclosure component of informed consent in a chemoprevention trial may differ
substantially from that required by a treatment trial consent. In a trial that involves
treatment of a gravely seriously disease, any benefit will be welcomed if no accepted and
efficacious standard therapy is available. Also, benefit will likely be welcomed at
considerable cost in terms of toxicity if the disease carries a high risk of morbidity or
mortality. The analogous risk-benefit equations have been neither defined nor clarified
for prevention trials. Assessing benefit will be especially problematic because successful
prevention results in "non-events" (ie, disease does not occur). Moreover,
although a non-event may be appreciated by an individual who does not develop the disease
during the trial, the significance of the efficacy of the preventive strategy can be seen
only in group data. Therefore, it is particularly important for researchers to admit
explicitly that some recipients of chemopreventive agents will not experience any
benefits, although it is hoped that as a group chemoprevention recipients will fare better
than controls. Patients involved in preventive strategies are frequently confused on
this point.25,26
Nevertheless, following the guidelines established for treatment trials, it is evident
that the informed consent process should include a description of the research including
sample sizes, research design, length of treatment, tests required, expected outcomes, the
known risks and benefits of the agents to be studied and the associated clinical and
opportunity costs. Known drug toxicities should be described, and a clear description
should be provided of who will pay for management of toxicity and any anticipated and
unanticipated outcomes. In addition, informed consent, like a preventive ethics approach,
requires disclosure of many of the design considerations, the confidentiality precautions,
and the social and economic risks discussed above. Supplied information should be relevant
to the experience and values of the subjects. For example, subjects may be more interested
in the likelihood, nature, and magnitude of side effects to be expected than the precise
probability of cancer risk reduction (eg, <5% vs <40%) or the scientific processes
thought to explain malignancy suppression. Rather than merely making disclosure and
leaving prospective subjects to make a decision, physician-researchers should encourage
subjects to disclose their values, priorities, and details of their particular life
situations and then help them to understand and weigh the complex and often probabilistic
information in light of those values.
Weighing Outcomes and Toxicities
In clinical situations where toxic therapy is employed, the possibility for injury
exists. The statutory and case law relating to medical torts defines when a compensable
injury has occurred. These injuries are usually defined as occurring as a direct
consequence of a practitioner's negligence and deviation from community standard of
practice. Given that context, it is difficult to argue that malignancies defined as
outcomes of primary interest that occur among subjects voluntarily consenting to
participate in a cancer chemoprevention trial constitute compensable injury. This view
appears defensible if the observed outcome would have occurred whether or not the subject
participated in the trial and subjects were told at trial enrollment that they would not
be compensated for expected events. Here, although not in all cases, ethical and legal
obligations seem to coincide.
It cannot be similarly argued that no ethical responsibility or potential legal
liability arises if participation in the trial may have contributed to the risk of a
life-threatening event. In that situation, more complex arguments pertaining to relative
benefits and risks will be invoked, but the bounds of those arguments are not yet well
defined. It is possible that a research participant in a prevention trial might perceive
the occurrence of a malignancy or other serious illness to be a consequence of the study
drug, but it seems reasonable to ascribe causal injury, and hence ethical responsibility
and potential legal liability, only if the study investigators knew of a potential risk
and failed to inform the participants.
This latter possibility raises another known challenge of prevention clinical trials.
During the course of the trial, which may extend as long as a decade or more, there will
be developments that affect the willingness of subjects to enter or remain in the trial.
These can include new screening methods, new therapies for either the primary or secondary
outcomes, and general lifestyle trends that may have an overall impact on the outcome of
the trial (eg, widespread changes in levels of exercise, intake of dietary fat, or general
disapproval of smoking and other adverse behaviors). In a clinical trial of extended
duration, it is likely that participants will desire to be informed about therapy that is
of potential benefit. This may create an ethical dilemma for the investigator who seeks to
provide all possible benefits to the trial participants while also seeking to preserve the
scientific integrity of the trial.
Interim Strategies
Adopting a preventive ethics approach helps to address these questions. Even if
researchers cannot anticipate the precise nature of future developments in advance, they
can anticipate their occurrence, develop a policy governing interim disclosure, and inform
prospective participants of it during the process of informed consent. The policy should
at least address whether subjects will be kept abreast of relevant new developments by
researchers and what effect new developments and resulting possible egress from the study
will have on trial design. Researchers may decide to require that subjects
"re-consent" to participation at specified intervals during long-term trials,
thus affording subjects an opportunity to learn of new developments, while providing more
orderly intervals of participation for purposes of data analysis. Agreements by subjects
to participate in a trial generally are not considered promises that subjects are morally
bound to fulfill, nor are they legally enforceable contracts. With rare exceptions, a
subject retains the right to withdraw from a clinical trial in order to protect his or her
welfare if the burdens of trial participation prove greater than anticipated or if the
subject's situation changes.
Trial Monitoring
Clinical trials of cancer prevention strategies require years to complete, and subject
recruitment and enrollment can be a lengthy process. Ongoing monitoring of both outcomes
and toxicity is required in all clinical trials. Monitoring of the data accrued in the
trial should be performed by an independent group of reviewers reporting to the trial
organizers. These provisions are motivated by a desire to ensure subject welfare and the
scientific merit of clinical trials during their progress. Members of the data monitoring
board of a prevention trial must have full access to all of the data relevant to the
trial. Also, they must be empowered to make a recommendation to terminate a trial early or
to close accrual to one arm of a multiple treatment trial if toxicity is severe or greater
than anticipated (ie, greater than participants agreed to risk), if the drop-out rate due
to toxicity or other considerations becomes unacceptable, or if there is overwhelming
benefit from the intervention while the placebo group is experiencing the outcome to be
prevented at the design rate.
Discussion of the statistical rules used for making decisions about stopping a
prevention trial early are beyond the scope of this review, but both sound ethics and
sound science argue that stopping rules for a trial must be defined before the trial
commences. Also, it is necessary to define the relative weights of each of the trial's
outcomes if there are multiple disease endpoints in a prevention trial (eg, breast cancer,
heart disease, or osteoporosis, as in the Breast Cancer Prevention Trial). Large clinical
trials are expensive to design and conduct, and high-risk subjects, carefully defined and
selected to have increased rates of disease, are difficult to accrue. An agent being
studied may be found early in a clinical trial to be effective in preventing one endpoint
of interest, but other endpoints may not have achieved significance. If a monitoring
committee stops a trial when one endpoint reaches significance, we may never have adequate
opportunity to assess other endpoints. Also, it is possible that endpoints reaching
significance late in the trial may have a larger effect size than a different endpoint
reached earlier in the trial.
It is challenging to determine which of multiple endpoints is the most important (ie,
how do we assign weights to outcomes?), and few accepted guidelines have been published.
It would seem evident that death is a more important event than disease incidence, but it
is not clear how much more significant it is or how stopping rules should be defined. Such
questions cannot be answered on scientific grounds alone. The relative weighting of
various endpoints -- indeed, the identification of an event as an endpoint worth studying
-- involves complex normative decisions with political, cultural, and economic dimensions,
as well as scientific considerations. Therefore, it is crucial not only to define stopping
points at the outset of a study, but also to recognize the normative dimensions of such
aspects of trial design.
Conclusions
The ethical issues associated with clinical research in cancer chemoprevention are
multiple and varied, and additional work is required to accrue relevant data and to more
clearly define the ethical issues raised by this type of research. Continuing dialog among
clinicians, ethicists, scientists, chemoprevention trial participants, and potentially
eligible subjects form the general population will lead to both clarification of and
consensus about these issues while permitting ongoing research in clinical cancer
prevention. Further resolution of these issues will derive from both the accumulating
clinical experience and the ethical deliberations that accompany chemoprevention trials
currently being conducted in the United States and around the world.
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From the University of Pittsburgh Cancer Institute, Pittsburgh, Pa (VGV) and the
Department of Human Genetics at the University of Pittsburgh (LSP)
Address reprint requests to Dr Vogel at the Univerity of Pittsburgh Cancer Institute, 3471
Fifth Ave, Suite 802 Kaufmann Bldg, Pittsburgh, PA 15213-3221.
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